Mt Albert
Uncertain
In our runs, ordinary polling error often hands this seat to another party.
One Curia Market Research poll for The Spinoff, 400 voters, 21–28 September 2026, moved the estimate towards National. The poll had Helen White (Labour) 33% and Melissa Lee (National) 32%.
One Curia Market Research poll for Taxpayers' Union, 400 voters, published 8 October 2026, was not used: no fieldwork dates published; unclear how undecided voters were counted.
- 2023 winner
- Labour
- 2023 runner-up
- National
- 2023 margin
- 0.1% of the top two candidates’ votes (18 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- At least 10 voters
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- LabourAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 79%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Alex Price | ACT |
| Ricardo Menéndez MarchList MP | Green |
| Helen WhiteMP for Mt Albert · won here 2023 | Labour |
| Melissa LeeList MP · runner-up here 2011–2023 | National |
| Sheldon Eden-Whaitiri | NZ First |
| Qiulae Wong | Opportunity |
| Luke Bones | Independent |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- Labour, 1999
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 2 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 4.0 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- Labour 5.2 points higher (2023, vs National)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Labour | 18 | National |
| 2020 | Labour | 21,246 | Labour |
| 2017 | Labour | 15,264 | Labour |
| 2014 | Labour | 10,656 | National |
| 2011 | Labour | 10,021 | Labour |
| 2008 | Labour | 10,351 | Labour |
| 2005 | Labour | 14,749 | Labour |
| 2002 | Labour | 16,024 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 13,108 | Labour |