Auckland Central
Uncertain
One Curia poll of 400 voters for the Taxpayers' Union, in July, had National ahead of Green on the electorate vote.
Source: Curia Market Research poll for Taxpayers' Union. Not used: unclear how undecided voters were counted.
- 2023 winner
- Green
- 2023 runner-up
- National
- 2023 margin
- 13.3% of the top two candidates’ votes (3,896 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 6.6% (at least 1,949 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- GreenAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 98%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Antonia Modkova | ACT |
| Christopher Manaia | Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party |
| Chlöe SwarbrickMP for Auckland Central · won here 2020, 2023 | Green |
| Naisi Chen | Labour |
| Candace Kinser | National |
| Johan Chang | Opportunity |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- Green, 2020
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 3.3 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- Green 14.7 points higher (2023, vs National)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Green | 3,896 | National |
| 2020 | Green | 1,068 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 1,581 | National |
| 2014 | National | 600 | National |
| 2011 | National | 717 | National |
| 2008 | National | 1,497 | National |
| 2005 | Labour | 3,884 | Labour |
| 2002 | Labour | 5,205 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 5,285 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 3,353 | Labour |